The 2024 Presidential Election SHOCKER That Will Change Everything

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Let’s dive into the latest updates. As the polls close, we’ll be bringing you results from key battleground states. Remember, the first results often set the tone for the night! • The 2024 Presidential Election SHOCKER That Will Change Everything • We're joined by political analysts who will break down what these results mean for our future. What trends are we seeing? How do they compare to past elections? Let’s find out! • As we wrap up our live coverage, thank you for joining us on this incredible journey. Stay tuned for more updates and analysis in the coming days. Together, we can stay informed and engaged! • We are updating in real time all the poll results, electoral maps, prediction markets and latest news regarding the 2024 US presidential election. • Reference: • 1. FiveThirtyEight: fivethirtyeight.com • 2. Polymarket: Polymarket.com • 3. 270 to Win: 270towin.com • 4. RealClear Politics: realclearpolitics.com • 5. TargetSmart: targetsmart.com • Hope you will find this stream informative and useful. Please see below Q A about how to use the live stream. • 1. How are polling averages (aggregation) constructed? • The goal of polling averages is to provide a current snapshot of the polling in each state for the two candidates: former President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee, and incumbent Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee. Different sources of poll aggregation differ in which polls they include and how they weight them. • a. FiveThirtyEight, its polling averages are a blend of two techniques. The first is to take a simple average of recent polls. The second is to use any of a variety of methods to calculate a trend line of the polls. For most of the race, the average primarily relies on the averaging method, which is usually the more conservative of the two. However, the average leans more heavily into the polynomial method of calculating a trend line in the final couple of weeks of the campaign. Thus, the polling averages can be fairly conservative for most of the race but more aggressive later on. • b. 270toWin: The average includes the most recent poll from each source released within two weeks of the November 5 election. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls from the date of the most recent poll, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included. • c. RealClearPolitics: a simple average of recent polls. • 2. How to use the Electoral Map? • The Electoral Map is based on the most recent polling averages. The 2020 election margin is used where there are no polling averages. States where the margin is greater than 15% are shown as Safe, between 10% and 15% are shown as likely, between 5% and 10% are shown as leans, less than 5% are shown as toss-up. (The thresholds for 270toWin are 12%, 8% and 4%). • 3. How are the Electoral Votes in Maine and Nebraska different from those in other states? • In all but two states, electoral votes are 'winner-take-all'. The candidate winning the popular vote normally receives all of that state's votes. Maine and Nebraska have taken a different approach. Using the 'congressional district method', these states allocate two electoral votes to the state popular vote winner, and then one electoral vote to the popular vote winner in each Congressional district (2 in Maine, 3 in Nebraska). • 4. How to get the party registration of early voters? • Party registration is based on a combination of state-provided partisanship (when available) and TargetSmart’s model of party affiliation. Nationally, the total number of early votes is an aggregation of the daily state totals sourced from TargetSmart and state officials. • --------------------------------------- • U.S. State abbreviations: • --------------------------------------- • Ala: Alabama • Alaska: Alaska • Ariz: Arizona • Ark: Arkansas • Calif: California • Colo: Colorado • Conn: Connecticut • Del: Delaware • DC: District of Columbia • Fla: Florida • Ga: Georgia • Hawaii: Hawaii • Idaho: Idaho • Ill: Illinois • Ind: Indiana • Iowa: Iowa • Kans: Kansas • Ky: Kentucky • La: Louisiana • Maine: Maine • Maine1: Maine CD-1 • Maine2: Maine CD-2 • Md: Maryland • Mass: Massachusetts • Mich: Michigan • Minn: Minnesota • Miss: Mississippi • Mo: Missouri • Mont: Montana • Neb: Nebraska • Neb1: Nebraska CD-1 • Neb2: Nebraska CD-2 • Neb3: Nebraska CD-3 • Nev: Nevada • NH: New Hampshire • NJ: New Jersey • NM: New Mexico • NY: New York • NC: North Carolina • ND: North Dakota • Ohio: Ohio • Okla: Oklahoma • Oreg: Oregon • Pa: Pennsylvania • RI: Rhode Island • SC: South Carolina • SD: South Dakota • Tenn: Tennessee • Texas: Texas • Utah: Utah • Vt: Vermont • Va: Virginia • Wash: Washington • WVa: West Virginia • Wisc: Wisconsin • Wyo: Wyoming • #USA2024 #ElectionCoverage #LiveUpdates #PoliticalAnalysis #Voting #ElectionNight #CurrentEvents #Democracy #civicengagement

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