Class 21 Probability of Hypotheses Bayes











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Lesson 21: Probability of Hypotheses (Bayes) • Hypotheses are only propositions, and all probabilility is that of propositions with respect to information assumed true. That's it, and noting more. • HOMEWORK: In the homework, assume in the same box you observed D = 10 good and 3 bad widgets. What is Pr(A|DX)? • All questions will be answered in the following Monday's lecture. • Written lecture: • https://www.wmbriggs.com/post/53100/ • https://wmbriggs.substack.com/p/14854... • Jaynes's book (first part): https://bayes.wustl.edu/etj/prob/book... • Permanent class page: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/ • Uncertainty Probability Theory: The Logic of Science

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